Stat 226 - Lecture 6

01/30/14

Announcements

  • Reading quiz due Sunday. Project step 1 due Feb 10th.
  • Any questions?

Your Turn

  • Finish the heights worksheet, then consider the following:
  • For each of the following data scenarios, determine the appropriate measure of center and measure of spread. To answer the question, think about what values are plausible and whether a histogram would yield a more symmetric or a more skewed distribution.
    • Household income in the US.
    • In-state tuition at US public colleges.
    • Heights of people.

plot of chunk heights

  • What is the shape of this distribution?
  • Why is it that the distribution of heights is bimodal?

plot of chunk heights2

  • Males tend to be taller than females!
  • The solid red line is the population distribution for females.
  • In practice, we don't know the population distribution!!! So we have to estimate it using the sample…
  • In chapter 12, for simplicity sake, we pretend to know everything about the population distribution.
  • Since I'm god, I know the population distribution of heights (solid line). plot of chunk female-heights2

    • Since the distribution is normal, it can be fully described by it's mean and standard deviation:
    • The population mean \( \mu \) is 64 inches and standard deviation \( \sigma \) is 1.5 inches.

    plot of chunk female-heights3

    • The sample mean was 63.98 and the sample standard deviation was 1.55.
    • By treating these sample statistics as population parameters, we obtain an estimate of the true probability distribution function (pdf).
    • Our estimated pdf is written as:
    • \( X \sim N(\mu = 63.98, \sigma = 1.55) \) where \( X \) is a r.v. associated with the height of a female.

    plot of chunk female-heights4

    • Think about drawing one female at random from the population.
    • What is the probability that she is 62 inches or shorter?
    • The area under the curve shaded in red!
    • We denote this quantity as \( P(X < 62) \)
    • We study questions like this in Chapter 12.
    • The normal distribution is the most important type of probability distribution function!
    • What exactly is a probability distribution function?